| The
Case for Trading Futures |
| . |
Futures
vs. SPDRS |
E-Mini
S&P 500 |
SPDRs
(S&P 500 Dep. Receipt) |
Where Traded |
CME
|
AMEX
/ NYSE / ECNs |
Ticker
|
ES |
SPY
|
Underlying
Cash |
S&P
500 |
S&P
500 |
Multiplier
|
$50
x Index |
1/10th
of the S&P 500 Cash Index |
Dollar
Value |
$55,000
per Contract |
$110
Per Share |
Value
of Min. Fluctuation |
$12.50 |
$0.01
|
Average
$ Vol / Day |
$11
- $13 Billion |
$1.0
- $2.0 Billion |
Trading
Platform |
Electronic-GLOBEX®
Only |
Specialist
or ECN |
Minimum
Capital Req. |
Margin:
7.2% ($3,938) |
50%
Reg. T Margin |
Trans.
Costs: Bid / Offer |
2
- 4 Basis Points |
7
- 10 Basis Points |
Trans.
Costs: Mgt. Fees |
None |
12
Basis Points per Annum |
24-Hour
Trading |
Virtually
24-Hour Trading |
No
|
Options
|
Yes
|
No |
|
| |
Futures
vs. QQQs |
E-Mini
NASDAQ 100 |
Nasdaq
100 ETF "QQQ" |
Where Traded |
CME
|
AMEX
/ NYSE / ECNs |
Ticker
|
NQ |
QQQ
|
Underlying
Cash |
Nasdaq
100 Index |
Nasdaq
100 Index |
Multiplier
|
$20 |
1/40th |
Dollar
Value |
$30,000 |
$37.50 |
Avg.
Daily $ Traded / Day |
$4.0
- $5.0 Billion |
$3.5
- $4.0 Billion |
Trading
Platform |
Electronic-GLOBEX®
Only |
Specialist
or ECN |
Dividends
|
None |
Yes,
but small |
Leverage
/ Capital Outlay |
$4,125
or 13% of Value |
50%
Reg. T Margin |
Trans.
Costs: Bid / Offer |
3 - 9 Basis Points |
7
- 18 Basis Points |
Trans.
Costs: Fees |
Commission
Only |
Commission
+ 18 bps/year |
24-Hour
Trading |
Virtually
24-Hour Trading |
No
|
Options
|
No |
Yes |
|
| . |
| The
Case for Trading Futures - Tax Issues |
| . |
- Futures
are treated more favorably and receive 60/40 tax treatment
- Equities,
in order to obtain more favorable tax treatment, are subject
to longer holding periods (1-year).
- The difference
can be substantial
|
| |
| Trading
Advantages |
| . |
| Ease
of use versus stocks: |
- Totally
electronic platform with fast, efficient fills and virtually
24-hour trading
- “Round
Trip” versus in-and-out commission
- Monitoring
a few key indexes vs. dozens of stocks thus eliminating traditional
stock picking and associated risks such as:
- Pre-announcements
and now…..accounting minefields
- Excellent
profit potential
|
. |
| Ease
of use versus options: |
- Rocket
Science Factor - Options traders can call market correctly and
still lose money because they must juggle 4 items:
- underlying
price
- strike
price
- volatility
- time
decay
- Futures
traders care about only 2 things:
- an
advancing market or
- an
declining market
- Futures
have more constant order flow and are usually much more friendly
regarding bid/offer spreads.
.
|
| More
Trading Advantages: Stocks
vs. Futures--Risk and Profit Potential |
. |
| Daily
Dollar Range and Volatility of Various Futures Contracts
January - December 2001 |
| Futures
|
$Range |
Historical
Volatility |
S&P
500 |
$5,821 |
21.63%
|
| E-Mini
S&P 500 |
$1,205 |
22.96%
|
Nasdaq
100 |
$8,864 |
53.57%
|
E-Mini
Nasdaq 100 |
$1,758
|
54.58%
|
Russell
2000® |
$4,470 |
24.09%
|
Euro
FX |
$1,223 |
11.44%
|
T-Bond
|
$984 |
10.77%
|
Crude
Oil |
$912 |
44.31%
|
Soybeans
|
$387 |
19.04%
|
Cattle
|
$318 |
16.69% |
Corn
|
$177 |
21.40%
|
|
| . |
| "Tick
Compression" vs. Futures Tick |
| . |
- Bid/offer
spread in SPY in 1990s: 12 - 37 cents
Bid/offer spread in SPY in 2002: 4 - 12 cents
- Bid/offer
spread in QQQ in 1999: 12- 50 cents
Bid/offer spread in QQQ in 2002: 1 - 8 cents
- With some
stocks, bid/offer is now a penny, since decimalization
- On some
ECNs, bid/offer is “sub-penny”
Result: Slimmer profitability
Solution: E-mini Stock Index futures
- By design,
minimum bid/offer spread is $10.00 to $12.50
Result: Traders/Scalpers can achieve greater margins
|
| |
| ECNs,
Market Makers and Implicit Markets |
| . |
- ETF Market
Makers make bid/offer spreads based on?
- ECN bid/offers
on ETFs based on?
- These
various “intermediaries” base their markets on:
FUTURES
PRICING!
Dozens of
other specialists and market makers are able to quote attractive
bid/offer spreads because of futures |
| |
| Open
Access to All |
| . |
- Level II
screens have advantage over Level III and other systems in terms
of bid/offer, inside market and dealers.
- E-minis
on GLOBEX are an equal access instrument. Anyone can join the
market or better the bid/offer. First In, First Out (FIFO) levels
playing field.
- GLOBEX
electronic platform has error trade policies and price transparency.
|
| |
| E-Mini
Complex….Contract Specifications |
| . |
|
|
E-mini
S&P 500 |
E-mini
Nasdaq 100 |
E-mini
Russell 2000 |
E-mini
S&P
Midcap 400 |
| Ticker
Symbol |
ES |
NQ |
ER2
|
EMD
|
| Contract
Size
|
$50
x E-mini
S&P 500
Futures Price
$55,000 |
$20
x E-mini
Nasdaq 100
Futures Price
$30,000 |
$100
x E-mini
Russell 2000
Futures Price
$49,000 |
$100
x E-mini
Midcap 400
Futures Price
$50,000 |
| Min.
Price Fluctuation (Tick) |
.25
Futures Index
Points = $12.50 |
.50
Futures Index
Points = $10.00 |
.10
Futures Index
Points = $10.00 |
.10
Futures Index
Points = $10.00 |
| Trading
Hours |
Virtually
24 Hours |
Virtually
24 Hours |
Virtually
24 Hours |
Virtually
24 Hours |
| Contract
Months* |
H,M,U,Z |
H,M,U,Z |
H,M,U,Z |
H,M,U,Z |
| Last
Day of Trading |
8:30
AM 3rd
Friday of
Contract Month |
8:30
AM 3rd
Friday of
Contract Month |
8:30
AM 3rd
Friday of
Contract Month |
8:30
AM 3rd
Friday of
Contract Month |
| Performance
Bond Initial** |
$3,938 |
$4,125 |
$4,350 |
$3,125 |
| Performance
Bond Maint. |
$3,150 |
$3,300 |
$3,480 |
$2,500 |
|
* H = March,
M = June, U = September, Z = December
** CME minimum performance bond margins as of 1/31/02 (Subject to
Change) |
| |
| Strategies:
Spreading Stock Index Futures |
| . |
Many traders
are content to just trade from the long or short side of the market.
However, spreads are unique strategies
- They add
flexibility
- And allow
traders to take advantage of price disparities, without having
to pick the overall direction of the market.
As most market
sectors headed south during the 2000-2001 correction, mid-cap
and small-cap stocks outperformed by a wide margin. |
Price
returns: |
Year
|
S&P
500 |
S&P
Midcap 400 |
Russell
2000 |
2001
|
-13.04 |
-1.63
|
+1.03
|
2000
|
-10.14 |
+16.21 |
-4.20
|
|
| . |
- Strategy:
Go long E-mini MidCap Futures and simultaneously short E-mini
S&P 500 Futures.
- Trader
could use E-mini Russell futures in place of E-mini MidCap Futures,
if he thought small stocks would outperform.
|
| |
| Advantages
of Spreading Stock Index Futures |
| . |
- In general,
lower risk with spreads than with outrights
- Divorce
yourself from having to correctly predict market direction
- Ability
to profit in up and down market
- In general,
lower performance bond margins
- Cheaper
than doing strategy with baskets of stocks
|
| |
| Disclaimers |
| |
The
information within this presentation has been compiled by Chicago
Mercantile Exchange Inc. (CME) for general purposes only. Although
every attempt has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information,
CME assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. Additionally,
all examples in this brochure are hypothetical situations, used
for explanation purposes only, and should not be considered investment
advice or the results of actual market experience.
All matters pertaining to rules and specification herein are made
subject to and are superseded by official CME rules. Current CME
rules should be consulted in all cases concerning contract specifications.
GLOBEX® and CME® are registered trademarks of Chicago
Mercantile Exchange Inc.
Nasdaq-100 is a registered trademark of The Nasdaq Stock Market,
Inc. (which with its affiliates are the Corporations). S&P
500â and S&P MidCap 400 Index are trademarks of Standard
& Poor’s (S&P), a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies,
Inc. The above marks are licensed for use by Chicago Mercantile
Exchange in connection with the trading of Futures and Futures
Options based on the Nasdaq-100 and the S&P 500 Index (Products).
The Products have not been passed on by the Corporations or S&P
as to their legality or suitability. The products are not issued,
endorsed, sold or promoted by the Corporations or S&P. THE
CORPORATIONS AND S&P MAKE NO WARRANTIES AND BEAR NO LIABILITY
WITH RESPECT TO SUCH PRODUCTS.
"SPDRs" is a trademark of The McGraw-Hill Companies,
Inc. and has been licensed for use in connection with the listing
and trading of SPDRs and MidCap SPDRs on the American Stock Exchange.
These products are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by
S&P, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., and S&P
makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing
in them.
The Russell 2000 Index is a registered trademark and servicemark
of Frank Russell Company. Frank Russell Company assumes no liability
in connection with the trading of any contract based on the Russell
2000 Index. |
| |
| . |
|
| |
Options
involve risk and are not suitable for all investors.
Copyright © 2009 PTI Securities & Futures LP .|.
Member SIPC NFA
NASD |
| |
|